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S8

AFRICA

CVJAFRICA • Volume 26, No 2, H3Africa Supplement, March/April 2015

between 1990 and 2013, however, likely due to aging and growth

of the SSA population, the number of IHD deaths increased by

87% over the same interval (Table 1).

As shown in Fig. 1 for both men and women, the number

of CVD deaths in SSA was substantially lower than that seen

for either the developed or developing countries. Contrary to

the pattern seen for developed and developing countries (as a

whole), the age-standardised mortality rate for CVD in both men

and women in SSA did not decline during the period from 1990

to 2013 (Fig. 1). In fact, the age-standardised mortality rate for

women in SSA, which was lower than the corresponding rate in

women in developing countries in 1990, is now higher than the

rate seen for women in developing countries, and substantially

higher than the corresponding rates for both men and women in

the developed world (Fig. 1).

The number of deaths from stroke in SSA nearly doubled

from 1990 to 2013, but overall age-adjusted stroke mortality

rates decreased by 1% (increased by 9% for ischaemic stroke

and decreased by 10% for haemorrhagic stroke). The increase

in number of stroke deaths in SSA was particularly noticeable

for ischaemic stroke (104% increases in 2013 compared to 1990),

although age-adjusted stroke mortality rates in SSA regions were

one of the lowest in LMIC and only slightly higher than that in

developed countries, compared with GBD 2010 stroke mortality

estimates. Although the majority of deaths from stroke in SSA

in 1990 were due to haemorrhagic strokes (55%), in 2013 the

proportional frequency of deaths from haemorrhagic stroke

was slightly lower (49.6%) than that from ischaemic stroke.

Compared to GBD 2010 stroke mortality estimates, the mean

age at death from stroke in SSA was the lowest among all LMIC.

In 1990 the total number of deaths from PAD was 469

(CI: 371–580) compared with 1 338 (CI: 1 122–1 618) in 2013,

representing a 185% increase. There were 277 (CI: 204–366)

deaths due to PAD among men, which was higher than the 192

(CI: 145–271) deaths observed among women. Similarly, in 2013,

the number of PAD deaths among men was 728 (CI: 578–902),

which was also higher than the 610 (CI: 480–817) deaths

observed among women. The combined age-standardised death

rates per 100 000 were 0.4 (CI: 0.3–0.5) and 0.6 (CI: 0.5–0.7) in

1990 and 2013, respectively, representing a 50% increase during

the 23-year period. The age-standardised death rates for men

were 0.5 (CI: 0.3–0.6) in 1990 and 0.6 (CI: 0.5–0.8) in 2013, which

represents a 20% increase. However, women had a 66% increase

in age-standardised death rates, as evidenced by the change from

0.3 (CI: 0.2–0.5) in 1990 to 0.5 (CI: 0.4–0.7) in 2013.

The total number of deaths from atrial fibrillation was 414

(331–509) in 1990, compared with 1 227 (CI: 959–1 558) in 2013,

representing an increase of 196%. However, the age-standardised

death rates (per 100 000) increased by 50% during the study

period from 0.4 (CI: 0.3–0.5) in 1990 to 0.6 (CI: 0.5–0.8) in

2013. In 1990 there were 148 (CI: 106–193) deaths due to

atrial fibrillation among men, which was less than the 266

(CI: 201–347) deaths observed among women. In 2013 there

was a similar pattern of fewer AFIB deaths in men compared

with women: 378 (CI: 295–490) vs 848 (CI: 605–1 170). The

age-standardised death rates for men were 0.3 (CI: 0.2–0.4) in

1990 and 0.4 (CI: 03–0.5) in 2013. The corresponding rates for

women were 0.5 (CI: 0.3–0.7) and 0.7 (CI: 0.5–1.0), respectively.

The mortality rate from PAD in SSA has increased over the

last 23 years. Furthermore, the relative increase in PAD mortality

rate among women has been more dramatic than among men.

Similar findings are noted for AFIB, wherein we actually

observed a higher number of deaths and age-standardised death

rates among women compared with men.

Sub-Saharan Africa Developing countries Developed countries

7 000 000

6 000 000

5 000 000

4 000 000

3 000 000

2 000 000

1 000 000

0

Frequency

1990

2013

Frequency

Sub-Saharan Africa Developing countries Developed countries

7 000 000

6 000 000

5 000 000

4 000 000

3 000 000

2 000 000

1 000 000

0

1990

2013

Death rates

Sub-Saharan Africa Developing countries Developed countries

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

1990

2013

Death rates

Sub-Saharan Africa Developing countries Developed countries

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

1990

2013

Fig. 1.

Number of CVD deaths in men (A) and women (B) in 1990 and 2013 in sub-Saharan Africa, developing countries, and in

developed countries. Age-standardised CVD death rates per 100 000 population are shown for men (C) and women (D) in

1990 and 2013 in sub-Saharan Africa, developing countries, and in developed countries.

A

C

B

D